Consumer electronics sales in Poland are expected to rise by 2.3% in August, with a month-on-month increase of 1.2%. By November, sales are anticipated to grow by an additional 3.7%. The three-month forecast volatility for this sector is 2.2, showing a decrease of 2.35 from the previous year. These projections are based on the Eurostat consumer electronics retail index data, indicating a stable yet modest growth trajectory in the Polish market.
Between May 2025 and November 2025, there is an 80% probability that consumer electronics demand will increase by the end of the period, with the central peak of the forecast distribution indicating the most likely outcomes and the wider tails representing less probable demand variations. This probability suggests that businesses should consider adjusting pricing strategies, optimizing inventory levels, and planning promotional activities to capitalize on the anticipated demand growth.
Poland shows a slightly lower sensitivity to price changes compared to other European countries, as indicated by a 13% year-over-year increase in the normalized price-sensitivity score and a 48% decrease in the volatility of that score. These metrics, derived from rolling twelve-month windows, reflect the year-over-year drift and stability of consumer-electronics price elasticity. The estimates are based on a hierarchical mixed-effects model that integrates data across various geographies, resulting in an overall price-effect *p*-value of 0.016. This suggests that pricing strategies in Poland can accommodate modest price adjustments without significantly affecting demand.
Method: Price Elasticity Insights