The household furniture and equipment retail sector in Poland is expected to see a slight sales increase of 0.3% in August. The month-on-month momentum for this period is anticipated to be -0.0%, indicating stagnation in growth. By November, sales are expected to rise by an additional 0.4%. The three-month forecast volatility for this sector is 0.2, which represents a decrease of 0.13 from the previous year. These projections are based on Eurostat's household furniture and equipment retail index data.
The forecast for the household furniture and equipment retail sector indicates a 59% probability of increased demand by November 2025. The distribution curve highlights the most likely demand scenarios at its peak, with less probable outcomes represented in the tails. Businesses should prepare for potential growth while implementing strategies to mitigate risks associated with less likely demand fluctuations.
Poland shows a slight sensitivity to price changes compared to its European counterparts, as indicated by a year-over-year (YoY) change in the normalized price-sensitivity score of -75%, suggesting a slight increase in sensitivity, and a YoY volatility shift of -71%, indicating a sharp decrease in volatility. These metrics, derived from rolling twelve-month windows, reflect the YoY drift and stability of price elasticity within the household furniture and equipment retail sector. The estimates are based on a hierarchical mixed-effects model that integrates data across various geographies, resulting in an overall price-effect *p*-value of less than 0.01. This suggests that pricing strategies in Poland should be carefully managed to maintain demand stability.
Method: Price Elasticity Insights