In August, household furniture and equipment retail sales are projected to increase by 1.2%. The forecasted month-on-month momentum for this category is -0.3%, indicating a slight slowdown in growth. By December, the cumulative change is expected to reach 6.4%. The volatility across the three-month forecast horizon is measured at 0.9, reflecting a year-on-year change of 0.46. These figures pertain specifically to the household furniture and equipment retail segment as reported by Eurostat.
Between June 2025 and December 2025, the forecast distribution suggests a 95% probability of increased demand in the household furniture and equipment retail sector by the end of the period. The central peak of the curve indicates the most likely demand outcomes, while the wider tails represent less probable variations. This probability necessitates strategic adjustments in pricing, inventory, and promotional planning to capitalize on the anticipated demand increase.
In the past year in Romania, the normalized elasticity score saw a year-over-year change of -75%, indicating a decrease in market sensitivity. At the same time, the year-over-year volatility of this score decreased by 70%, reflecting reduced fluctuations in market responsiveness. These figures were obtained using a multilevel model with macroeconomic controls, with a statistically significant price-effect p-value of less than 0.01. The market's current relative insensitivity suggests that businesses should consider maintaining stable pricing strategies and focusing on long-term promotional planning.
Method: Price Elasticity Insights