The household furniture and equipment retail sector in Belgium is expected to see a 0.4% increase in sales in August. The month-on-month momentum for this period is anticipated to be 1.0%. By December, sales in this category are expected to grow by an additional 3.0%. The three-month forecast volatility for this segment is 0.4, which represents a decrease of 1.35 compared to the previous year. These projections are derived from Eurostat's household furniture and equipment retail index data.
Between June 2025 and December 2025, there is a 90% probability that demand for household furniture and equipment retail will increase. The central peak of the forecast distribution curve indicates the most likely demand outcomes, while the wider tails represent less probable variations. This probability suggests that businesses should consider adjusting pricing, inventory, and promotional strategies to capitalize on the anticipated demand growth.
Belgium shows a slight sensitivity to price changes compared to its European counterparts, as indicated by a year-over-year (YoY) change in the normalized price-sensitivity score of -75%, suggesting a slight increase in sensitivity, and a YoY volatility shift of -70%, suggesting a slight decrease in volatility. These metrics, derived from rolling twelve-month windows, evaluate the drift and stability of price elasticity within the household furniture and equipment retail sector. The estimates are based on a hierarchical mixed-effects model that integrates data across various geographies, resulting in an overall price-effect *p*-value of less than 0.01. Practically, this implies that pricing strategies in Belgium should be carefully calibrated to maintain demand stability.
Method: Price Elasticity Insights