The household furniture and equipment retail sector in Germany is expected to see a 0.6% increase in sales in August. The month-on-month momentum for this period is anticipated to be 0.7%. By December, sales are expected to grow by an additional 2.7%. The three-month forecast volatility for this segment is 0.4, which represents a decrease of 0.51 from the previous year. These projections are based on data from the Eurostat household furniture and equipment retail index.
Between June 2025 and December 2025, there is an 89% probability that demand for household furniture and equipment retail will increase. The forecast distribution's central peak indicates the most likely outcomes, while the wider tails account for less probable demand variations. This probability suggests that businesses should consider adjusting pricing, inventory, and promotional strategies to capitalize on the anticipated demand growth.
In the past year in Germany, the normalized elasticity score saw a year-over-year change of -74%, and the year-over-year volatility of that score changed by -70%. These numbers suggest a slight increase in both market sensitivity and volatility compared to peers. The data comes from a multilevel model with macroeconomic controls, showing a statistically significant price-effect p-value of less than 0.01. Businesses should take these changes into account when planning pricing or promotional strategies, as the increased market sensitivity and volatility could affect consumer response.
Method: Price Elasticity Insights