The household furniture and equipment retail sector in Switzerland is expected to see a 1.0% decrease in sales in August. The month-on-month momentum for this period is anticipated to be -0.4%. However, by December, sales are expected to rise by 2.0%. The three-month forecast volatility for this segment is 0.5, which is an increase of 0.37 from the previous year. These projections are based on Eurostat's household furniture and equipment retail index data.
Between June 2025 and December 2025, there is an 83% probability that demand for household furniture and equipment retail will increase. The forecast distribution's central peak indicates the most likely outcomes, while the wider tails account for less probable demand variations. This probability suggests that businesses should consider adjusting pricing, inventory, and promotional strategies to capitalize on the anticipated demand growth.
During the last year in Switzerland, the normalized elasticity score saw a year-over-year change of -75%, while the year-over-year volatility of that score decreased by 70%. This suggests a slight increase in both sensitivity and volatility, indicating that the market is currently somewhat more sensitive compared to its peers. These figures are derived from a multilevel model with macroeconomic controls, showing a statistically significant price-effect p-value of less than 0.01. The business implication of these results is that companies should consider more dynamic pricing or promotional strategies to effectively respond to the increased market sensitivity.
Method: Price Elasticity Insights